2019 promises to be a challenging year for investors. Liz Ann Sonders of Schwab believes we’ve been in a “stealth bear market” for some time and offers cautions for the coming year. The BlackRock Portfolio Solutions team suggests two things you can do now to protect your portfolio. The “flattening yield curve” is in the news, but what does it mean? As John Mauldin sees it, a flattening curve doesn’t necessarily mean a recession is imminent.
2019 U.S. Market Outlook: Ten Years Gone — When it comes to the relationship between economic data and the stock market, “better or worse tends to matter more than good or bad”. Bear markets and recessions are difficult to time accurately, but there are tried-and-true disciplines investors can adopt to weather any coming storms. Read more…
Portfolio Reflections And Resolutions — As the New Year approaches, it’s a healthy exercise to evaluate the year that’s ending and look ahead to the next one. Here we offer a collection of insights our BlackRock Portfolio Solutions team has gathered from working with thousands of advisors on close to ten thousand investment models in the past twelve months. Read more…
The Misunderstood Flattening Yield Curve –Everybody is suddenly talking about the inverted yield curve. They’re right to do so, too, but alarm bells may be premature. Inversion is a historically reliable but early recession indicator. The yield curve isn’t saying recession is imminent, even if it were fully inverted, which it is not. Read more…
John R. Day, Bill Ennis, Stephanie Hall, and Matt Heller
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